Tag Archives: Earthquake
Space Weather Trackers Forecast 5-16-14
Good afternoon everyone!
Attached is today’s solar disc viewing plasma at 1 Million Kelvin (AIA 171) to see coronal loops above active regions, 1.25 Million Kelvin to see darker filaments in the corona, and 50,000 Kelvin to see features around sunspot regions in the surface of the chromosphere.
Today’s solar activity has been at quiet levels with only one C-class flare detected from region 2066 in the southern hemisphere.
Currently all sunspot regions remain simple with only C-class flares expected in the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic activity is also at quiet levels with no disturbances expected in the next 24 hours as well.
Source: https://www.facebook.com/spaceweathertrackers
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Current Space Weather Data:
Solar Wind Speed: 356 km/s (Low)
Solar Wind Density: 4.6 p/cm^3 (Low)
IMF Strength (Bt): 5.1 nT (Low)
Bz: 3.9 nT (North)
Current Solar X-ray Data:
Current Level: B4.7 (Flat-lined)
24 hr Max Level: ~C2.7 (AR2066 @ ~0250 UT)
Current Geomagnetic K-indices:
Boulder: 2.1
Anchorage: 2
Sundsvall: 2
Mull: 1
Australia: 0
Estimated Kp for 1800 – 2100 UT: 2 (Quiet)
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5/16/14 Space Weather and Weather FORECASTS
WX Forecast:
Areas in-and-around Philly, PA… though this flooding threat is for much of PA, MD, VA, DE and parts of NJ.
Rain, rain and some more rain… yup, beginning tonight and into tomorrow, expect a good deal of rain… mainly tomorrow. FLASH FLOODING is a good possibility and remember DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS…. flooded roadways WILL OCCUR tomorrow, so don’t be a moron. Expect rain to begin mid morning and last through late afternoon/early evening, heavy at times.
(P.S. If you do get stuck trying to drive through flooded roads, I will make an effort to personally come out there, and backhand you across the face.)
SPWX Forecast:
The sun continues to be fairly quiet. A few sunspots visible on the solar disk, but nothing to serious looking. Flare probability forecast:
C-Class: 87%
M-Class: 20%
X-Class: 2%
Solar winds are tranquil, but may see slight enhancement over the next 2 hours due to a recurrent positive-polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS), but nothing to crazy. Expecting the Kp-index to remain at or below 3. Aurora probability remains low for tonight. Areas in northern Canada and Alaska have the best shot of seeing anything.
Space Weather Trackers Forecast 5/15/14
Good afternoon everyone!
Attached is today’s solar disc viewing plasma at 6,000 & 100,000 Kelvin (AIA 1600) to see sunspots, and 10 million Kelvin (AIA 131) to see super-heated plasma from solar flares.
Solar activity has remained at active levels, but this time from region 2060 in the southern hemisphere with a few low C-class flares including this C5-class flare peaking just before 0300 UT today.
All current sunspots remain at simple configurations. A small chance for M-class flares coming from active regions 2056 and 2060 remain. 2063 remains simple magnetically but is growing into a compact region that could start erupting with higher C-class flares soon.
Geomagnetic activity is still at quiet levels with Bz primarily taking a northern orientation the past 24 hours and low solar wind speeds. K-indices are not expected to go above a K3, assuming a period of southern Bz.
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Space Weather Data:
Solar Wind Speed: 332 km/s (Low)
Solar Wind Density: 4.5 p/cm^3 (Low)
IMF Strength (Bt): 6 nT (Low)
Bz: -0.8 nT (South)
Solar X-ray Data:
Current Level: B5.1 (Flat-lined)
24 hr Max: C5 (AR2060 @ ~0255 UT)
Current Geomagnetic K-indices:
Boulder: 0.6
Anchorage: 0
Sundsvall: 2
Mull: 1
Australia: 0
Estimated Kp for 1800 – 2100 UT: 1 (Very Quiet)
El Niño 2014 Wet weather in the West Coast
El Niño Page
Are we going to have a El Niño this year?
More information will be posted soon
#dailysun May 12 2014
iMountainNews Daily Sun #dailysun
Big Bear Activity Report
Solar activity is moderate. C-class events were observed in region NOAA 12055, 12056 and 12058. Region NOAA 12055 shows some new flux emerging near the trailing spot. Region NOAA 12056 is now a delta configuration again. C-class events are likely in region NOAA 12056. An M-class flare is possible in this region as well. C-class events are possible in regions NOAA 12055 and 12058.
Solar Videos
Soho Video 5-8-14 to 5-12-14
Solar Flaring is picking up on the 11 – 12
SDO Video 5-10-14 5-12-14
For more data go to http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Credit NASA, SOHO
8.0 strikes. Chile. Earthquake and aftershocks
3.0 shakes La Habra April 1st 2014 no joke
Large Quake hits near Pakistan 7.7 near Awaran
Pakistan: A huge earthquake hit southwest Pakistan on Tuesday, killing at least 327 people and more are missing, toppling scores of homes and sending people around the region rushing into the streets in panic. This large quake may have created a island off the shore, south of the coast.
The 7.7-magnitude quake centred in Baluchistan province’s Awaran district was felt as far afield as New Delhi and Dubai, residents said.
6.5 Earthquake Aleutian Islands, Alaska
A Large 6.5 quake shook near Aleutian Islands today Sept 3rd, 2013
No Tsunami warning.
The Aleutian arc extends approximately 3,000 km from the Gulf of Alaska in the east to the Kamchatka Peninsula in the west. It marks the region where the Pacific plate subducts into the mantle beneath the North America plate. This subduction is responsible for the generation of the Aleutian Islands and the deep offshore Aleutian Trench.
NOAA Bouy has only minor deviation.
Station 21414 (LLNR 984.8) – AMCHITKA – 170 NM South of Amchitka, AK
A M5.9 hit 188kn SW Bella Bella, Canada with a few M5.0 aftershocks.
The September 3, 2013 earthquake occurred as the result of strike-slip faulting in the boundary region between the Pacific plate, the North American plate, and the Juan de Fuca plate (or the Explorer subplate of the Juan de Fuca plate). The epicenter is situated south of Haida Gwaii, also known as the Queen Charlotte Islands, off the west coast of British Columbia.
M6.5 hit Tzu Island Japan
The Philippine Sea plate is bordered by the larger Pacific and Eurasia plates and the smaller Sunda plate. The Philippine Sea plate is unusual in that its borders are nearly all zones of plate convergence. The Pacific plate is subducted into the mantle, south of Japan, beneath the Izu-Bonin and Mariana island arcs, which extend more than 3,000 km along the eastern margin of the Philippine Sea plate.