Alright, things are really spicing up in space weather…. sunspot 2056 is being labeled as a Beta-Gamma-Delta by the ASSA. While this doesn’t mean an X-class flare is definite, the possibilities of such an event are elevated. This, along with its brother sunspot 2055 are to regions to keep focus on over the coming week. While they haven’t produced much since turning around the horizon, I’m sure some activity will be seen in the near future from these regions. Be sure to keep checking back for further updates. Source: https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistGM
Category Archives: Space Weather
5/7/14 FORECASTS
WX Forecast:
A beautiful night overall to go do some stargazing. Mainly clear skies and cool conditions, dropping into the 40s. Tomorrow should be nice for the most part, although there is a slight chance for an evening shower across the region (30%).
Morning low: 44; High: 72.
SPWX Forecast:
As expected, activity has recently increased, with two M-Class flares in the last 24 hrs. I don’t see the activity calming down anytime soon. While both flares originated from sunspot 2051 (which just turned around the western limb, away from Earth) region 2055 and 2056 should be watched, as they had released flares prior to turning toward Earth. Both of these regions I could see becoming a Beta-gamma-delta over in the near-future. I am still keeping the solar flare probabilities fairly elevated over the next 24-48hrs.
C-Class: 91%
M-Class: 53%
X-Class: 18%
Looking at the solar winds they continue at nominal levels, but expect an increase over the next 24-48hrs, thanks to the CH-HSS. As a result we could also see geomagnetic activity increase just a bit, potentially seeing aurora reach in central Canada and Alaska. Kp-index is expected to remain below at or below 4 over this period.
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5/5/14 spaceweather forecast
5/1/14 Weather and Spaceweather Forecasts
Meteorologist Gregg Mccambley
5/1/14 Forecasts:
WX Forecast
A beautiful night. It may be a bit muggy, but clearing skies and comfortable temperatures will lead to a nice night to go stargazing (Stargazing rating: 7.2/10). Heading into tomorrow, a mix of clouds and sun with some isolated showers across the region, but again, overall a very nice day setting up.
SPWX Forecast
Quiet. The solar disk is fairly quiet, aside from few isolated sunspots, which includes sunspot 2049, which I’m still keeping an eye on. This region has the best chance to release CMEs. For that, I am leaving the probabilities a bit high for solar flare activity. C-class: High (88%), M-Class: Moderate (43%) and X-class: low 12%. Solar winds are nominal and expect kp values to remain at 3 or below for the next 24 hrs.