Good afternoon all!
Attached is today’s solar disc viewing plasma at a temperature of 50,000 Kelvin (AIA 304) and 10 million Kelvin (AIA 131) with sunspot regions labeled.
Solar activity had been below the M-class levels for nearly a month until AR2051, now on the western limb and no longer visible, fired off now three M-class flares all at the M1 level, including one that just peaked a half an hour ago, pictured here.
No CMEs have currently been seen, although even if there had been its proximity to the western limb will more than likely cause them to miss anyway.
Currently only regions 2055 and 2056 have potential for flaring, with 2055 possessing a beta-gamma magnetic layout with 2056 looking like a beta-gamma-delta, although its close proximity to the limb still distorts its magnetic layout and is not with certainty.
Regardless, 2056 appears to be the spot to look out for for possible M-class flares.
A new region is also rotating around the southeastern limb that we should see fully in the next day or so.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet, with the aurora confined to polar regions only.
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Current Space Weather Data:
Solar Wind Speed: 333 km/s (Low)
Solar Wind Density: 2.2 p/cm^3 (Low)
IMF Strength (Bt): 4 nT (Low)
Bz: -0.8 nT (South)
Current Solar X-ray Data:
Current Level: C6.3 – Trending downwards
24 hr max level: M1.8 (AR2051 on SW limb)
Current Ground-based Geomagnetic K-indices:
Anchorage: 2
Sundsvall: 2
Mull: 2
Boulder: 3.3
Australia: 0
Estimated Kp for 1500 – 1800 UT: 2 (Quiet)
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