Tag Archives: news
San Diego County Fire Map 2014
Shared from here: http://fire.escondido.org/wildfire-resources.aspx
San Marcos 2014 Fire Tornado
El Niño 2014 Wet weather in the West Coast
El Niño Page
Are we going to have a El Niño this year?
More information will be posted soon
#dailysun May 12 2014
iMountainNews Daily Sun #dailysun
Big Bear Activity Report
Solar activity is moderate. C-class events were observed in region NOAA 12055, 12056 and 12058. Region NOAA 12055 shows some new flux emerging near the trailing spot. Region NOAA 12056 is now a delta configuration again. C-class events are likely in region NOAA 12056. An M-class flare is possible in this region as well. C-class events are possible in regions NOAA 12055 and 12058.
Solar Videos
Soho Video 5-8-14 to 5-12-14
Solar Flaring is picking up on the 11 – 12
SDO Video 5-10-14 5-12-14
For more data go to http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Credit NASA, SOHO
5/7/14 FORECASTS
WX Forecast:
A beautiful night overall to go do some stargazing. Mainly clear skies and cool conditions, dropping into the 40s. Tomorrow should be nice for the most part, although there is a slight chance for an evening shower across the region (30%).
Morning low: 44; High: 72.
SPWX Forecast:
As expected, activity has recently increased, with two M-Class flares in the last 24 hrs. I don’t see the activity calming down anytime soon. While both flares originated from sunspot 2051 (which just turned around the western limb, away from Earth) region 2055 and 2056 should be watched, as they had released flares prior to turning toward Earth. Both of these regions I could see becoming a Beta-gamma-delta over in the near-future. I am still keeping the solar flare probabilities fairly elevated over the next 24-48hrs.
C-Class: 91%
M-Class: 53%
X-Class: 18%
Looking at the solar winds they continue at nominal levels, but expect an increase over the next 24-48hrs, thanks to the CH-HSS. As a result we could also see geomagnetic activity increase just a bit, potentially seeing aurora reach in central Canada and Alaska. Kp-index is expected to remain below at or below 4 over this period.
Our World is Changing Beyond 2012
Shared from Suspicious0bservers
5/2/14 Weather and Spaceweather Forecasts
Meteorologist Gregg Mccambley
5/3/14 Forecasts
WX Forecast:
A nice night with some clouds. Expect temperatures to drop into the upper 40s to near 50. Heading into tomorrow, expect beautiful conditions. Mostly sunny to start the day, with an increase in clouds in the afternoon with some isolated showers possible across the region late in the afternoon. Expect temperatures to approach near 70.
SPWX Forecast:
Continued quietness. Aside from a few c-class flares over the past 24 hrs, all else is quiet. Though I am keeping an eye on sunspots 2047 and 2049 as I could see an M-class eruption in the next 24-48hrs, and a minor chance for an X-class. Flare probabilities: C-class: 93%; M-Class: 52%; X-Class: 13%
Solar winds are nominal at around 350 km/s and geomagnetic activity is practically non-existent. Expect Kp values to remain at 2 or below.
5/1/14 Weather and Spaceweather Forecasts
Meteorologist Gregg Mccambley
5/1/14 Forecasts:
WX Forecast
A beautiful night. It may be a bit muggy, but clearing skies and comfortable temperatures will lead to a nice night to go stargazing (Stargazing rating: 7.2/10). Heading into tomorrow, a mix of clouds and sun with some isolated showers across the region, but again, overall a very nice day setting up.
SPWX Forecast
Quiet. The solar disk is fairly quiet, aside from few isolated sunspots, which includes sunspot 2049, which I’m still keeping an eye on. This region has the best chance to release CMEs. For that, I am leaving the probabilities a bit high for solar flare activity. C-class: High (88%), M-Class: Moderate (43%) and X-class: low 12%. Solar winds are nominal and expect kp values to remain at 3 or below for the next 24 hrs.